Quote List week 12/17

Technical Guidance Pics

Check out the Quote list on the side bar!

They've been doing great, I haven't seen a better grouping in such an unpredictable market on any paper traders portfolio since I've made them active buys.  Of course you could reference my portfolio to assess the holdings of a profitable fund manager with no in-house market making techniques.

CPSL

That's a nice descending wedge with triple tops, I'm thinking a short squeeze is in order as the expiration volume was shy of the stocks true valuation as the options holders of December are a group of dreamer types, however the January call effect will not be so easygoing as the stock has seen recent dumping ahead of the much anticipated mid January correction likely to effect the whole market for a week or two due to the mortgage debacle reports to come, this stock is hugely overpriced I can see it reaching 2.5 in about 3 weeks.  The dreamers wont be so sure to invest in downgraded china stocks reputed for weak fundamentals during the correction, they'll hear of bank liquidity issues and stunted China growth that was largely fueled by banks fueling the SUVS of upper middle class investors they courted like some early bloomers at the lakehouse. 

Week in Review

The dollar is gaining some support and our portfolio is performing as expected, what more could you ask for?

CPSL

There may be something to say for Cpsl after all, going into stock expiration has got many investors bearish, not much room for a gap up during a china rut, I've been at the short since the peak on the 7th, maybe.  The early november gap down trend leads me to believe a short rally may take place rather quickly and strongly as it has happened before.  The bull in me wants to think any trader knows there's not enough fill for a pressure play at this volume however, a little upside on slightly higher close leads the shorts in for the squeeze. Plus the RSI is passing the 50 on a 14day average.

2008 Guidance

HOLD: JEC, FRO, SAM, TAP, BBD, UBB, RIO, CIB, BP, CVX, ATVI

OUTPERFORM: MA, VMW, RIMM, TGT, C, T, SPIR, EXM, PBR, XOM, SUN, FMC, MO, MOS, ROG, ASIA, CAAS, CBAK, JASO, CTDC, KONG, STV, AHGP, ANR, HW, GIGM, MICC, VSAT, EDS, IBM, HPQ, SIGM, PANL, NATI, SCSC, TYC, HUR, ETR, ENS, MOT, VZ, SNV, JPM, CBH, AMTD, BBT, AMN, MTW, BMRN, SUN, HES, NTG, OXY, OPTT, ESLR, ATVI, KNM, PLUS, BEAS, ATVI, CAL, TDW, QMAR, PNCL, NM,S

MARKETPERFORM: SAM, TAP, DELL, CPSL, HOV, JEC, BBD, UBB, RIO, CIB

NEUTRAL: MSFT, CSCO

SELL: RMBS, QCOM, AU, GG, GSS, SSRI, CDE, DBP, DBS, SLV,WM

Pics

If you've been playing with our portfolio and most recent pics the following symbols may look awfully good: SOLF, RIMM, SPIR, MA, JEC, CPSL, HOV, RMBS, QCOM, CIT

Pics

I've been a little too busy to add the dialogue for daily post but if you've been looking around the blog you would've noticed a quote list on the sidebar, posted with pics to research.

Pics for 12/11

CFC, WM, CVX, XOM, RIO, TSO, MON, CEO, PBR, UBB, BBD, CIB, SNP, TAP, CBH, STP, DELL.

Merry Christmas

TSO, DO, CLWR, CVX, PBR, CEO, TDW; look for huge profits in 08'. 

Picks for 12/7

Upgraded:

DELL,TSO,INTC,BIDU,CEO,PTR

Downgraded:

CHNR,RMBS,QCOM,CPSL 

All positions held are longterm, regardless of their intraday status.

Dell

If you're interested in Dell, watch the cup, look for handle, and huge volume next Wed. as we look for covered calls, or calls with a stop loss, or the good ol' collar.

China

Someone edited the blog, erased my outstanding gains during the past week for the portfolio I've had to re list below. So to spite them I'm gonna post My Private Portfolios China holdings of which I'm long, and in the money as of today, as of 2003. :-)BIDU,CHL,FMCN,JASO,JIXAY,PTR,SNDA,SSRX,TSGTY,CSUN,CPSL,CHNR,JRJC,RCH,EJ,BNSO,CHEUY...just to name a few. I watched the following two make these gains today; CHNR +14.94/87.83% , CPSL +2.01/31.03%.

The Upcoming Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision

A rumored 50% cut will drive the watchlist higher, the most recent watchlist should bounce higher significantly, and overall our past watchlist should all behave following their bullish trends into late December. Don't worry guys, if you buy today or tommorow you'll be safe mid January late April when some of these pics will have been removed from guidance watchlists as they will be affected by recession.  And that means no cash, slow sales, you think times are uncertain now, there will be nothing to be uncertain about when you know what you can and cannot do.

Holiday Season Guidance.

I've got huge confidence in the big winners who've collected, cashed-in, chickened out, banked, whatever you call what middle class folks have been doing' to escape poverty.  Anyway, look for the guys with the Benjamin's to spend some cash on jewelry , and large volume shopping merchants, oh and for the slightly more privileged buyer expect to see the airlines as a major destination for you players out there, making moves in the sky. I see CAL, AMR, and LUV on the to do list for the end of December beginning of January, you wont be glad you made these purchases until the "April squeeze".

New additions to My Portfolio!

POT, MON, TSO, CBH, DAR, SU, TGT, WMT, TIF, TSL, SKS, NILE, EMC, CIT, C, GS, UBB, BBD, BAP, GFLS, STT, OFG, NBTB.

Know your entry-exit points, do the math. Booyaah!

Beat the Market in 07'-08' !

AU, AMTD, C, CBH, CIT, FMD, PSPT, THC, there you have the quick and dirty I've been hiding for about 4 months now, these are the good guys, if you don't believe me, check out their behind the scene moves, I've been so excited I had to share the news. Sure go ahead and add them to your watchlist. But if you want more like those your gonna have to ask for them. Oh, and they were on my watchlist.

FMD

12/10/03 was the day I met FMD, it was just an ordinary day of good fundamentals, and just breaking out on the emerging BULL scene, well let me tell you, FMD has been a mighty good company for my portfolio.  You can read this one like a book, if you know what I mean. Got it heavily oversold/shorted and is going to gap fill any day now at least to the forty range this month and from there I would expect a continuing bull pattern into 08'. 

VMW

On 11/27 I bought VMW calls now +17.35/23.60% reviewing my Sept. 18 entry at 75.38 at the base of the cup when I figured the price to be undervalued and saw a rise to +49.55/65.75%.  

CBH

+3.56/10% in 6 days.  I hope you followed through, I did the math for you at the right entry, and I'd expect you to continue to profit throughout this quarter.

Watchlist/Past Performers

AU, CIT, EDS, KO, MO, PG, OIH, FRO, QCOM

CBH

I'm long on Commerce Bank (CBH) and TD Ameritrade (AMTD), they've high surburban visibility, and well established buisness greatly unaffected by the sub-prime mortgage crap. TD is Listed by Barron’s as the #1 Web browser-based online broker and Forbes as one of America's best big companies, the Company’s full spectrum of services include a leading active trader program and long-term investor solutions, including a national branch system, as well as relationships with one of the largest networks of independent registered investment advisors. CBH was recently acquired by AMTD, they're set up to perform well with increased margins throughout the year.

Market recap of my first watchlist

CEO 14.69 /9.24% , GS 6.97 /3.33% , RIG 4.5 /3.69% , GSF 3.2 /3.88%, STP 4.31 /6.76%, SLV 3.18/ 3.88%, JEC 2.16 /2.86%, DO 2.02/ 1.8%.

The first of many

Hello, my name is BIG BROTHER, some of you may already know my character, but that's not what this blog was intended for. However we will discuss stocks, republican polititians, and the occasional lighthearted moment. Bear with me, we are entering a transition to a bull market, now what does that mean? We're going to get right down to it, yes the bottom line where transition meets opportunity, and where the common man doesn't argue with the well to do.